In this Monday Night Football showdown, the Philadelphia Eagles, boasting an 8-1 record, and the Kansas City Chiefs, with a 7-2 record, are set to face each other again following their bye week in a rematch of Super Bowl LVII.
Philadelphia comes into this one with quarterback, Jalen Hurts, playing through a knee injury, and they will be missing their key tight end Dallas Goedert.
As for the Chiefs, they’ll aim to maintain their strong defensive performance, despite the absence of their linebacker Nick Bolton, who is out with a wrist injury.
Let’s explore our top betting tips based on the latest NFL odds ahead of the Week 11 matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs.
Eagles vs Chiefs Matchup
Jalen Hurts sustained a knee injury during the Week 7 game against the Dolphins and since then has managed only 63 rushing yards from 25 attempts, averaging 2.52 yards per carry.
Before his injury, his average was 42.2 rushing yards per game.
This seems to have impacted Hurts’ agility, which might play a crucial role when facing the Chiefs.
Kansas City are currently ranked third in EPA against the pass according suggesting they have a robust defence capable of challenging the Eagles.
The limited mobility of Hurts has also seemingly affected their running strategy as D’Andre Swift made just 162 yards from 49 carries, averaging 3.3 yards per carry, during this period.
Although there’s a chance that Hurts might recover better post-bye, there’s little evidence of his improved condition when it comes to game time.
If that wasn’t enough, the absence of Goedert in the offence adds another layer to why the Chiefs might have an upper hand for this Monday Night Football clash.
Eagles vs Chiefs Prediction
Expect the Chiefs to narrowly emerge victorious in this rematch of Super Bowl LVII.
This is largely due to the impact of Jalen Hurts’ reduced effectiveness as a runner, which is likely to hinder the Eagles’ offensive performance.
This limitation, coupled with the Eagles’ less-than-stellar pass defence this season, gives Kansas City a distinct edge.
Philadelphia’s pass defence, currently ranked 19th in Pass EPA, has been allowing an average of 279 yards per game, indicating a vulnerability that can be exploited.
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs, known for his dynamic playmaking ability, should be in a prime position to capitalise on the Eagles’ weaker secondary.
His proficiency in orchestrating high-scoring drives could be a key factor in this closely contested matchup.
Additionally, the Eagles’ offence, potentially constrained by Hurts’ limited mobility and the absence of key players, might struggle to keep pace with the Chiefs’ scoring.
Best NFL Bets for Eagles vs Chiefs
Under 45.5 points @ 1.92
Jalen Hurts’ knee injury is a significant concern for the Eagles, as it may impede their offensive effectiveness.
The Chiefs’ offence has shown signs of struggle recently, managing a total of just 80 points across their last four games.
Although they scored 31 points against the Chargers’ weak defence, their performance in the other three games was less impressive, failing to surpass 21 points.
The Eagles, despite their underwhelming pass defence, possess formidable defensive players, notably the standout rookie Jalen Carter, who could exert significant pressure on Patrick Mahomes.
Look for a low-scoring matchup and take the Under.
Kansas City Chiefs win @ 1.66
At Super Bowl LVII the Chiefs narrowly defeated the Eagles 38-35. However, a repeat high-scoring game seems unlikely, mainly due to the Chiefs’ robust defence this year. They rank impressively in limiting both points and passing yards per game.
While the Eagles might face challenges in their passing game, their strong rushing offence, averaging nearly 130 yards per game, offers a viable alternative and Jalen Hurts has had extra recovery time due to a bye week.
Despite Andy Reid’s impressive post-bye record, Nick Sirianni, undefeated in post-bye regular-season games, might just have the tactical edge to outmanoeuvre Reid, but probably only by a field goal.
*Odds subject to change.
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